Spurs vs Trail Blazers: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – January 18, 2021

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The Portland Trail Blazers (8-5) host the San Antonio Spurs (7-6) at after Damian Lillard went off for 36 points in the Trail Blazers’ 112-106 victory over the Hawks. The matchup airs on NBCS-NW at 3:00 PM ET on Monday, January 18, 2021. The matchup has an over/under set at points.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from William Hill sportsbook as of January 18, 2021, 12:55 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Spurs vs Trail Blazers Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of January 18

Spurs:
Derrick White: Out (Toe),
Drew Eubanks: Out (Health and Safety Protocols),
Luka Samanic: Out (Illness),
Keita Bates-Diop: Out (Upper Respiratory Infection),
Quinndary Weatherspoon: Out (Knee)

Trail Blazers:
CJ Elleby: Day To Day (Foot),
Jusuf Nurkic: Out (Wrist),
CJ McCollum: Out (Left foot),
Zach Collins: Out (Ankle)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Trail Blazers (+1)
Total Pick Over (224.5)
Prediction Trail Blazers 114, Spurs 112

The model has the Trail Blazers as 1.8-point favorites in this one despite the opposite prediction from William Hill. However, the margin between the two lines is only 2.8 points.

In this game, the model projects a total (225.6 points) marginally higher than the William Hill over/under (224.5 points).

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Spurs Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
DeMar DeRozan 11 20.7 5.7 6.7 1.0 0.7 0.8
Dejounte Murray 13 15.8 7.3 5.2 1.5 0.1 1.1
Keldon Johnson 13 14.5 7.2 2.3 1.2 0.8 1.2
Patty Mills 13 14.2 1.7 3.2 0.2 0.1 2.9
Lonnie Walker IV 13 13.8 3.1 1.7 0.5 0.6 1.9

Spurs Player Props

  • DeMar DeRozan’s PRA prop total for the game is set at 32.5, 0.7 less than his season average of 33.2.
  • Dejounte Murray’s PRA prop total for the contest is set at 23.5, 4.9 lower than his season average of 28.4.
  • Patty Mills’ three pointers made prop total for the game is set at 2.5, 0.4 shots less than his season average of 2.9.
  • Jakob Poeltl’s blocks prop over/under for the game is set at 1.5, 0.7 blocks higher than his season average of 0.8.

Trail Blazers Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Damian Lillard 13 27.6 4.8 6.8 1.0 0.2 3.8
CJ McCollum 13 26.7 3.9 5.0 1.3 0.3 4.8
Carmelo Anthony 12 12.0 3.1 1.2 0.8 0.5 1.8
Gary Trent Jr. 11 11.5 1.6 1.2 0.4 0.1 2.5
Enes Kanter 13 10.2 9.4 0.7 0.6 0.8 0.0

Trail Blazers Player Props

  • Lillard’s PRA prop total for the game is set at 40.5, 1.3 higher than his season average of 39.2.
  • Enes Kanter’s rebounding prop total for the contest is set at 4.5 rebounds, 4.9 rebounds lower than his season average of 9.4.
  • CJ McCollum’s three pointers made prop over/under for the game is set at 3.5, 1.3 shots lower than his season average of 4.8.
  • Jusuf Nurkic’s blocks prop total for the contest is set at 1.5, 0.6 blocks higher than his season average of 0.9.

Shooting Trends

  • The Spurs make 44.1% of their shots from the field this season, which is 2.5 percentage points lower than the Trail Blazers have allowed to their opponents (46.6%).
  • San Antonio has a 3-0 record against the spread and a 3-0 straight-up record in games it shoots better than 46.6% from the field.
  • Portland is 4-1 against the spread and 4-1 overall when allowing opponents to shoot better than 44.1% from the field.
  • The Trail Blazers have shot at a 43.9% clip from the field this season, 2.9 percentage points less than the 46.8% shooting opponents of the Spurs have averaged.
  • Portland has put together a 2-0 record against the spread and a 2-0 straight up record in games it shoots higher than 46.8% from the field.
  • When San Antonio’s opponents shoot greater than 43.9% from the field, it is 2-3 against the spread and 2-3 overall.
  • The Spurs’ 36.3% three-point shooting percentage this season is only 0.8 percentage points higher than opponents of the Trail Blazers have shot from deep (35.5%).
  • San Antonio has a 5-2 record against the spread and a 5-2 record overall when the team hits more than 35.5% of its three-point attempts.
  • Portland has put up a 4-2 against the spread while going 5-1 overall in games this season when its opponents shoot higher than 36.3% from deep.
  • The Trail Blazers shoot 38% from beyond the arc this season. That’s -1.6 percentage points higher than the Spurs have allowed their opponents to shoot from deep (39.6%).
  • Portland is 4-1 against the spread and 5-0 overall when shooting above 39.6% as a team from three-point range.
  • San Antonio has a 5-2 ATS record and a 5-2 straight-up record this season when it makes more than 38% of its three-point shots.
  • The Spurs’ 11.2 made three-pointers per game this season is 5.1 fewer made shots on average than the 16.3 per game the Trail Blazers give up.
  • Portland is 6-4 against the spread and 7-3 overall when it hit more three-pointers than its opponents, while San Antonio is 3-5 ATS and 3-5 straight up in games when it is out-shot from deep.
  • The Spurs rank 25th in the NBA in made three-pointers, while the Trail Blazers give up the 18th-fewest made threes in the league.

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Spurs vs Trail Blazers Stat Rankings

Spurs Rank Spurs AVG Trail Blazers AVG Trail Blazers Rank
18th 110.1 Points Scored 115.7 5th
14th 110.2 Points Allowed 115.2 25th
12th 46.1 Rebounds 44.6 18th
17th 9.8 Off. Rebounds 9.6 18th
25th 11.2 3pt Made 16.3 2nd
16th 25.1 Assists 21.8 29th
1st 9.9 Turnovers 11.3 2nd

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