NFL Betting Line Analysis: Home Team -3

6ed1274c05a041f3a1a6088612884aeb665ed073 looks at games that featured the home team a a primary -3 home favorite. We look at the line moves around this number and the final results.


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Tampa Bay Bucs vs. Green Bay Packers (January 17, 2021)

This Divisional round game presented a rare situation in which the line did not come off the -3 anywhere, that is until the final hours ahead of kickoff. This one closed at -2.5 at a handful of sharp books including Heritage, BetOnline and Bookmaker.

Action on the 3 was balanced. Moving to the 2.5 appeared to indicate an opinion on Tampa covering as the books attempted to get more lopsided action on the Saints last minute.

Spread Range: 3 / 2.5

Line Trend (Closing): Half point down off of 3.

Result: Tampa Bay wins by ten points – 30-20.

– Mary Montgomery,

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