- Under 2.5 goals were scored in six of Brighton’s last eight Premier League home games.
- Five of Spurs’ last seven Premier League away games produced under 2.5 goals.
- Brighton are the only team in the division yet to win a home game this season.
- Tottenham have won four of their last five meetings with Brighton.
Spurs face tough Seagulls test
Tottenham will be licking their wounds following their midweek chasing by Liverpool, and with Harry Kane out injured, they will have to work hard to bounce back with a win at Brighton on Sunday.
Spurs had been gearing up to launch a title challenge this season, though the manner of their 3-1 reverse at home to current champions Liverpool on Thursday would have been a real wake up call for their supporters.
Jose Mourinho’s troops were thoroughly outclassed in the capital, and their 0.10 xG (Expected Goals) figure for the evening highlights just how ineffective they were.
Brighton look blunt
Brighton meanwhile, missed a huge chance to establish a buffer between themselves and the drop zone when they were held to a 0-0 draw by Fulham on Wednesday.
That was the third time in six Premier League assignments where a toothless Albion failed to score, and following their stalemate against the Cottagers, Brighton remain the only team in the division yet to win a home game in 2020/21.
Narrow victory for Spurs on the cards
Harry Kane has provided an incredible 23 goal contributions (12 goals, 11 assists) in 19 Premier League starts for Tottenham this season, and his absence through injury makes Spurs a less lethal outfit ahead of their trip to Brighton.
With Tottenham’s talisman missing and Brighton’s general lack of thrust in the final third also a factor, we expect goalmouth action to be sparse on Sunday, and the under 2.5 goals market is favoured as a result.
Even with Kane in tow, Spurs away assignments have routinely been tight affairs this term, and under 2.5 goals backers were rewarded in five of their last seven Premier League games on the road since October, and we expect Sunday’s game to follow a similar pattern.
However, our 1-0 correct score prediction backs Jose Mourinho’s men to just about edge out their hosts. Tottenham found the net exactly once in five of the seven away matches we mentioned above, and a single effort could be enough to gather the points against a Brighton team that just can’t seem to break their duck at home this season.
Brighton injuries and team news
Jason Steele is a doubt for Brighton, while Tariq Lamptey, Danny Welbeck, Florin Andone, Alireza Jahanbakhsh and Jose Izquierdo will all miss out through injury.
Graham Potter has a few decisions to make near the top end with Aaron Connolly and Adam Lallana pushing to start.
Tottenham Hotspur injuries and team news
Harry Kane has joined Sergio Reguilon and Giovani Lo Celso in the treatment room, which is a huge blow to Spurs.
Dele Alli is also likely to be absent as a loan move away starts to look imminent.
Backup striker Vinicius could be handed a chance to shine in the league in Kane’s absence.